October is Long-Term Care Month

1. Fed cuts rates; labor is cooling — AI spend helps growth

  • On Sept 17, the Fed cut rates by 0.25% to a 4.00%–4.25% target range, noting that “downside risks to employment have risen.”  August private payrolls were soft. Health care & social assistance +47k while 8 of 13 other private industries fell.

Sources: Fed statement https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250917a.htm BLS summaryhttps://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

  • AI-led growth: AI/data-center investment has been a major growth driver, at times outpacing consumption. Funded mainly by free cash flow, not debt; leading firms show ROIC >20% vs. ~9% for the S&P 500®. If AI investment stays strong, it can offset softer hiring. If it slows, markets may wobble.

Sources: Natixis IM https://www.im.natixis.com/en-us/insights/macro-views/2025/labor-market-slows-tech-drives-us-economic-growth

2. Social Security: why solvency keeps coming up 

  • The 2025 Social Security Trusteesoutlook points to 2033 depletion and a ~23% needed benefit cut without any other changes.

  • Benefits won’t vanish, but changes to taxes, retirement age, or formulasare likely. Plan early to manage the uncertainty.

Source: BPC summary →https://bipartisanpolicy.org/blog/2025-social-security-trustees-report-explained/

 

3. Long-term care (LTC): plan before you need it ❤️

What LTC is: Help with daily activities or ongoing health needs at home, in the community (adult day centers), or in residential settings.

Why plan now: LTC can be costly and often uses a mix of personal savings, Medicare/Medicaid, and private options like LTC insurance, certain life/annuity riders, or trusts. Sources: NIA →https://www.nia.nih.gov/health/long-term-care/what-long-term-care

 

Practical steps:

  • Keep up healthy habits and make your home safer.

  • Discuss care preferences with family.

  • Compare costs for home, community, and facility care.

  • Review coverage while you’re healthy to keep premiums lower. If you’d like quotes tailored to your situation, I’d be glad to help.

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